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Discreteness of catastrophes and abnormally low wave velocities in fractured-porous megastructures

https://doi.org/10.18303/2619-1563-2026-1-16

Abstract

The paper demonstrates that the Omori and Gutenberg–Richter laws can be written in discrete form and do not require approximation by continuous processes. The variance of average distances from a crack to its nearest neighbor plays a key role in determining the hazard of catastrophes. Zero variance results in discrete-impact catastrophes. Increasing variance initially weakens catastrophes until they disappear. Then, with further increases in variance, catastrophes of a completely different nature arise, which can be interpreted as the failure of a body without a prior history of this failure, i. e., as the sudden disintegration of a body with an internal structure. This phenomenon may be related to the occurrence of earthquake swarms.

About the Authors

E. B. Sibiryakov
Trofimuk Institute of Petroleum Geology and Geophysics, SB RAS; Siberian State University of Telecommunications and Information Science
Russian Federation

Egor B. Sibiryakov

Koptyug Ave., 3, Novosibirsk, 630090

Kirov Str., 86, Novosibirsk, 630102



B. P. Sibiryakov
Trofimuk Institute of Petroleum Geology and Geophysics, SB RAS; Siberian State University of Telecommunications and Information Science
Russian Federation

Boris P. Sibiryakov

Koptyug Ave., 3, Novosibirsk, 630090

Kirov Str., 86, Novosibirsk, 630102



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Review

For citations:


Sibiryakov E.B., Sibiryakov B.P. Discreteness of catastrophes and abnormally low wave velocities in fractured-porous megastructures. Russian Journal of Geophysical Technologies. 2026;(1):16-24. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.18303/2619-1563-2026-1-16

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ISSN 2619-1563 (Online)